Lull before the Storm

There were 3 different waves of illness during the Spanish pandemic, starting in March 1918 and subsiding by the summer of 1919. The pandemic peaked in the U.S. during the second wave, in the fall of 1918. This highly fatal second wave was responsible for most of the U.S. deaths attributed to the pandemic. A third wave of illness occurred during the winter and spring of 1919, adding to the pandemic death toll. The third wave of the pandemic subsided during the summer of 1919. An estimated 1/3 of the world’s population was infected with the 1918 flu virus – resulting in at least 50 million deaths worldwide.

The current Chinese pandemic will create a significant number of asymptomatic people who are not displaying symptoms but might infect people later this year once we have discontinued practicing social distancing. This could create a significant problem in the fall of 2020.

And that is all I’m going to say about that!